BACK TO THE FUTURE: A prognosticator’s update for the 21st Century

Russell Ebeid, Guardian Industries

Unlike economists who only forecast the future but rarely reflect on their past predictions, as a glassmaker I will tread on safer ground. I will foretell the past, and if you deem this speaker credible, predict the future. Let’s review the record. In the last century, nearly a decade ago, I addressed this prestigious audience and assembly of experts at Tamglass’ Sixth Glass Processing Days. Among other topics presented, I offered the following main points to the audience at that time.


1. The glass industry’s leverage would shift from the producer to the user.

2. Enhanced products would be needed just to maintain sales and customer interest.

3. There would not be a correlation between a company’s size, profitability, nor market value.

4. The global group would consist of Japanese, French, American, and English glassmakers.

5. Newer regional niche entrants would challenge global players.

6. Mergers and acquisitions were on the horizon.

7. The clock speed of this industry would accelerate substantially.

8. The technology would spread outside of the worldwide producers.

9. Competitive pressures from the Pacific Rim would erode normal profit margins.

10. Solar energy management via coatings on glass would generate interest and be a most exciting addition to the industry.

11. Our industry is positioned to benefit from the leading wave of democracy.

Full Text Article [50 KB]